Denver 
W-L: (16- 4) PR = 93.7834
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
212 A Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 15- 4
215 A Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 14- 7
219 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 15-11
222 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 17- 9
301 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 18- 5
306 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 11-12
308 A Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 15- 9
313 H Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 21- 4
322 H Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 15- 4
326 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 6-12
328 A Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 14- 2
401 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 15- 9
411 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 14- 5
415 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 6- 9
418 H Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 19- 1
425 A Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 11- 5
430 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 17- 6
502 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 12- 4
508 N Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 16- 8
510 A Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
212 A Southern California 15- 4 11 6 ++ 5.11
215 A Arizona State 14- 7 7 5 1.53
219 H Towson 15-11 4 11 --- -7.05
222 A Vanderbilt 17- 9 8 7 0.77
301 H High Point 18- 5 13 13 -0.23
306 A Stony Brook 11-12 -1 -1 0.29
308 A Fairfield 15- 9 6 8 -1.73
313 H Stetson 21- 4 17 20 0.00
322 H Connecticut 15- 4 11 10 1.16
326 A Michigan 6-12 -6 -2 -- -4.50
328 A Butler 14- 2 12 18 - -2.00
401 H Marquette 15- 9 6 9 - -3.15
411 A Villanova 14- 5 9 6 + 3.06
415 H Colorado 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.24
418 H Xavier 19- 1 18 18 0.00
425 A Georgetown 11- 5 6 2 + 3.54
430 H Marquette 17- 6 11 9 1.85
502 H Georgetown 12- 4 8 5 + 2.81
508 N Florida 16- 8 8 0 +++ 7.64
510 A Colorado 9-11 -2 -1 -0.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
219 H Towson 15-11 4 11 --- -7.05
326 A Michigan 6-12 -6 -2 -- -4.50
415 H Colorado 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.24
328 A Butler 14- 2 12 18 - -2.00
401 H Marquette 15- 9 6 9 - -3.15
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
508 N Florida 16- 8 8 0 +++ 7.64
212 A Southern California 15- 4 11 6 ++ 5.11
411 A Villanova 14- 5 9 6 + 3.06
425 A Georgetown 11- 5 6 2 + 3.54
502 H Georgetown 12- 4 8 5 + 2.81
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 15- 4 -13.37 26.80 1.37 0.87 48.79
3 A Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 14- 7 -12.95 27.22 1.37 0.87 49.52
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 15-11 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 0.87 39.85
3 A Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 17- 9 -14.71 25.46 1.37 0.87 46.47
3 H High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 18- 5 -17.98 22.19 -1.37 0.87 36.06
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 11-12 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.87 -2.09
3 A Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 15- 9 -15.21 24.95 1.37 0.87 45.60
3 H Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 21- 4 -24.36 15.81 -1.37 0.87 25.02
3 H Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 15- 4 -14.59 25.58 -1.37 0.87 41.94
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 6-12 -5.98 34.19 1.37 0.87 -2.00
3 A Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 14- 2 -25.84 14.33 1.37 0.87 27.19
3 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 15- 9 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 0.87 43.14
3 A Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 14- 5 -13.43 26.74 1.37 0.87 48.69
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 6- 9 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.87 -3.19
3 H Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 19- 1 -22.92 17.25 -1.37 0.87 27.51
3 A Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 11- 5 -9.94 30.23 1.37 0.87 54.73
3 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 17- 6 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 0.87 43.14
3 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 12- 4 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 0.87 49.99
3 N Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 16- 8 -6.48 33.69 -0.00 0.87 58.36
3 A Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 9-11 -5.99 34.18 1.37 0.87 -2.00
------
676.71
|
winning pts = 685.9872 losing points = -9.2763
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------